Welcome to Trail Guide, your host through the wilds of the 2016 presidential campaign. Itâs Wednesday, Jan. 20, and hereâs what weâre talking about:
- Sarah Palin links sonâs domestic violence arrest to a lack of leadership from President Obama
- Donald Trump says heâd welcome Palin as part of his White House, a day after she endorsed him
- Bill Clinton makes a case for Hillary: realism
- Chris Christie has a confession to make to Iowa voters. Many confessions, in fact
- Bernie Sanders campaigns in Iowa fresh off a solid debate performance and amid strong poll numbers
- Ben Carson temporarily suspends his campaign after a volunteer dies in a car accident
- Gov. Terry Branstad says that Iowans voting for Ted Cruz would be making a mistake
Sarah Palin links sonâs domestic violence arrest to a lack of leadership from Obama
A day after her endorsement of Donald Trump, Sarah Palin hit the campaign trail with the billionaire businessman, and she sought to tie President Obamaâs treatment of veterans to the recent arrest of her son on a domestic violence charge.
Palinâs son, Track, 26, was arrested this week in a domestic violence case in which his girlfriend said he had an AR-15 assault rifle and that she was afraid he would shoot himself with it. Track Palin, a veteran of the U.S. Army, served in Iraq.
âGoing through what weâre going through today with my son, a combat vet ... like so many others, they come back a bit different, they come back hardened,â his mother said Wednesday at a rally alongside Trump in Tulsa, Okla. âThey come back wondering if there is that respect for what their fellow soldiers and airmen and every other member of the military so sacrificially have given to the country.â
Palin, the 2008 vice-presidential pick of Republican nominee John McCain, accused Obama of failing to provide veterans with adequate care.
âThey have to question if theyâre respected anymore. It starts from the top,â she said. âThe question, though, that comes from our own president, where they have to look at him and wonder, âDo you know what we go through? Do you know what weâre trying to do to secure America?ââ
Trump has made care for those who have served a central talking point to his campaign, particularly in the wake of the 2014 Veterans Affairs scandal, which centered on allegations that veterans had died waiting for healthcare amid system backups in appointments.
The endorsement from Palin is a boost to Trump, who is in a tight race with Texas Sen. Ted Cruz to win Iowa. Palin, a former Alaska governor, has a strong following among evangelical voters, a key voting bloc in the Feb. 1 Iowa caucuses.
Would Donald Trump draw Democratic votes? Donât bet on it
As Donald Trump continues to lead Republican presidential polls, some of his backers have forecast that he could draw a significant share of Democratic votes in a general election.
On the other side, some Democrats have predicted that unhappiness with Trump might drive substantial numbers of Republicans to cross party lines if he were the nominee.
Donât count on either of those happening.
A new poll by the non-partisan Pew Research Center underscores the powerful antipathy partisans feel toward the other side.
Trumpâs proposed ban on Muslims helps sink refugee bill
Donald Trumpâs proposal to ban Muslim refugees was too much for Senate Republicans.
Senators on Wednesday were unwilling to entertain a Democratic effort to force a vote on Trumpâs proposal, which was being suggested as an amendment to another bill that would block refugees from Syria and Iraq from entering the U.S.
Many Republicans, including fellow presidential candidates Sen. Ted Cruz and Sen. Marco Rubio, oppose Trumpâs approach, preferring to stay away from a religious test on refugees.
Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) wanted to give them a chance to prove it, saying Republicans should be prepared to vote on âDonald Trumpâs vision for America.â
But Senate Republicans didnât take the bait, refusing to allow amendments to the refugee bill. With no chance to add the Trump proposal, Democrats filibustered the broader bill.
President Obama had indicated he would veto the bill. But on a vote of 55-43, it did not reach the 60-vote threshold needed to advance over the Democratic filibuster.
Cruz, Rubio and fellow presidential hopeful Sen. Rand Paul all returned to Washington to support the measure, which would effectively bar Iraqi and Syrian refugees from entry. Democratic candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders did not vote.
The bill easily passed the House with bipartisan support in November in the aftermath of the Paris terror attacks, and two Democrats joined Republicans in trying to advance it in the Senate on Wednesday.
Rubio, Kasich and Christie try a practice run at an address before lawmakers
Consider it a warm-up act one year early.
Twelve months to the day that the next president will deliver an inaugural address from the steps of the U.S. Capitol, three Republican hopefuls were addressing lawmakers at the New Hampshire State House in Concord on Wednesday.
The exercise brought some presidential gravitas to candidates whoâve otherwise been focused on traditional retail stops in the Granite State, as they spoke from the rostrum of historic Representatives Hall to an audience of nearly 400 members of the stateâs unusually large legislature.
Running for president? Money canât buy you love
Spending on advertisements by Republican presidential hopefuls does not correlate to support -- at least not at the moment.
With less than two weeks until voting begins in the 2016 election, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida have spent a combined $91 million on advertising this cycle, according to an analysis by NBC News and the media firm SMG Delta. The spending includes both cash from their campaign war chests and super PACs supporting their candidacies.
By contrast, businessman Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas, who are leading the crowded GOP field, have spent a combined $8 million on advertising.
âIâve spent to this point almost nothing and Iâm in first place by a lot,â said Trump at a rally on Tuesday in Ames, Iowa.
He noted that Bush has spent a âfortuneâ attacking him, but has seen little success in the polls. Indeed, an average of national surveys shows Trump at 34%, Cruz at 18% and Rubio and Bush at 11% and 4% respectively.
On the Democratic side, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders has surpassed front-runner Hillary Clinton on advertising spending.
Sanders, who is leading Clinton in New Hampshire, which will hold the first primary of 2016 on Feb. 9, has spent $12.8 million on advertising, compared to Clintonâs $11.6 million.
The money doled out by Sanders has come solely from his campaign (he has eschewed support from a super PAC), while Clintonâs spending also includes cash from Priorities USA, a super PAC backing her White House bid.
Bill Clinton makes a case for Hillary: realism
Among the great difficulties Hillary Clintonâs campaign has faced is how to counter Sen. Bernie Sandersâ appeal to the idealism of liberal voters, particularly young people.
Clintonâs allies have made efforts to frighten voters about Sanders, to warn that he could sink the Democratic ticket if he were the nominee, even, briefly, to raise doubts about his health. None of that has worked.
Wednesday, the campaignâs No. 1 surrogate, Bill Clinton, made a more straightforward argument: realism.
Speaking to campaign volunteers and staff in Salem, N.H., the former president conceded that his wife trails Sanders in the state, which holds its first-in-the-nation primary Feb. 9.
âWeâre fighting it out in Iowa. Weâve got a little lead that I think is solidifying and maybe growing a little bit,â he said. âWeâre on a home field disadvantage here. But the real issue is, who can win the election, whoâs prepared the do the job, who can make real change?â
Voters need to think about âthe practical realityâ of making change, he said. Sanders, for example, has proposed a single-payer healthcare system, which would replace President Obamaâs signature health law.
Diving back into the healthcare debate while Republicans control Congress would be âa recipe for gridlock, and we canât afford it,â Clinton said.
By contrast, Hillary Clinton, âevery day she thinks, what can I do to make it better? Some people think itâs incremental. I think itâs realistic,â he said.
âLyndon Johnson said you can talk about miles when you speak, but sometimes youâre making progress in inches,â he added. Former New York Gov. Mario Cuomo âsaid we campaign in poetry but we govern in prose. We canât wait. Weâve got to get this show on the road.â
If âsmokedâ in the primary, John Kasich promises heâll drop out
John Kasich considers himself the âprince of light and hopeâ in a Republican field filled with darkness.
Kasich insisted that heâs confident in his ability to compete in the GOP race, but if his rivals âsmokeâ him in the February primary in New Hampshire, the Ohio governor said, he plans to end his run.
âIf I get smoked here, Iâm not gonna carry on a fairy tale,â Kasich said in an interview with CNN released Wednesday.
Voters are hungry for a candidate who can shake up the government and solve problems, Kasich told radio show host Hugh Hewitt in a separate interview Tuesday. But, he said, that doesnât mean they want someone who uses depressing words to describe the state of the country.
âI donât spend all my time getting people riled up about how bad everything is,â he said.
Kasich told CNN that he doesnât believe that talking more about God and pandering to evangelical or right-leaning religious groups will win him a vote.
âI was doing a radio interview and the commentator said, âWhy donât you talk about God more? You could get more votes,â â he said. âIt doesnât work that way.â
Kasich doesnât know what will happen at the primary, but he said he will remain âhappyâ as he has for his entire run since he joined the race in July.
Trump has anger. Cruz has conservatism. Chris Christie? He has himself
In a dive bar on the western edge of the state, with scores of people huddled around him on a freezing night, the New Jersey governor best known for his tough-guy persona shared one of his most vulnerable moments.
Chris Christie talked about fearing for his wifeâs life after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, when she was working near the World Trade Center and he couldnât reach her on the phone for hours.
âWhat am I going to do without my best friend?â he recalled wondering. âWhat kind of single dad am I going to be?â
It was just the first of the nightâs confessions from the Republican presidential candidate. He admitted to having a bit of a crush on singer Adele. He joked about his weight. He talked about saying goodbye to his mother as she lay dying of lung cancer.
Each story, some of which have become staples of his campaign events, is another attempt to burrow into the hearts of Iowa voters just two weeks before the caucuses.
Trump: Sarah Palin could play a role in my White House
Former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin could play a role in a potential Donald Trump administration, the businessman told NBC on Wednesday, a day after Palin announced her endorsement of the Republican front-runner in Iowa.
Neither discussed the possibility of her running as a vice presidential candidate, but Trump said heâs not sure she would even want to take on that responsibility again.
âI havenât discussed anything with her,â Trump said on NBCâs âTodayâ show. âShe could play a position if she wanted to.â
In fact, Trump said, he hasnât thought about a running mate -- he wants to win the GOP nomination first.
As Republican rivals including Texas Sen. Ted Cruz attack Trump as a panderer to the base who was long a liberal Democrat, Palinâs endorsement comes as a boost to real estate tycoonâs conservative credentials.
âSo many people are so disappointed that she didnât support them,â Trump told Fox News, referring to his rivals for the nomination.
âWhen she came to see me and talked to me, I could see she really liked what we were doing,â he added.
At a campaign event at Iowa State University on Tuesday, Palin praised Trump, saying he would âbust up that establishmentâ if elected.
âHeâs going rogue left and right, man,â Palin said. âThatâs why heâs doing so well.â
With an air of vindication, Bernie Sanders returns to Iowa
Fresh off a strong debate performance and buoyed by rising poll numbers, Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders returned to Iowa with an air of vindication.
âWe began this campaign some nine months ago. The media was saying, âBernie Sanders, heâs an interesting guy, he has interesting ideas ⌠but heâs a fringe candidate. ⌠We already have the anointed candidate, the inevitable candidate,ââ Sanders told hundreds of supporters gathered Tuesday afternoon at a winery here.
âWell, a lot has happened in the last nine months,â he said, âand the inevitable candidate is not quite so inevitable.â