Sam Farmer’s Week 7 NFL picks

Lines according to Glantz-Culver (O/U = over/under). Last week’s record: 7-7; season 50-40 (.556). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted, the handicapped record would have been 7-7; season 41-49 (.456).

Cincinnati at Atlanta
Records: 2-3; 4-2.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 704.
Line: Falcons by 3. O/U: 42.
Matt Ryan is 15-1 at home, and the Falcons should bounce back after a disappointing performance at Philadelphia. Falcons 24, Bengals 20

Buffalo at Baltimore
Records: 0-5; 4-2.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 705.
Line: Ravens by 13. O/U: 39.
This could be a trap game for the Ravens, but it’s unlikely they will lose that much focus at home, and the Bills don’t have much firepower. Ravens 30, Bills 17

Jacksonville at Kansas City
Records: 3-3; 3-2.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 706.
Line: Off the board. O/U: Off.
The Chiefs should be able to regain their defensive legs against the inconsistent Jaguars, who are hitting the road after a short week. Chiefs 27, Jaguars 24

Pittsburgh at Miami
Records: 4-1; 3-2.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 707.
Line: Steelers by 3. O/U: 40.
If the Steelers can establish the run, they’ll try to hit the Dolphins over the top with Mike Wallace, who’s plenty fast enough to stretch the field. Steelers 20, Dolphins 15

Cleveland at New Orleans
Records: 1-5; 4-2.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 708.
Line: Saints by 13. O/U: 43.
These aren’t the same Saints who rumbled through 2009. But winning in New Orleans is still tough, especially for a team like the banged-up Browns. Saints 35, Browns 17

St. Louis at Tampa Bay
Records: 3-3; 3-2.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 709.
Line: Buccaneers by 3. O/U: 38.
If the Buccaneers couldn’t stop New Orleans backup Chris Ivory, they’re going to have a beast of a time keeping Steven Jackson contained. Rams 20, Buccaneers 17

Philadelphia at Tennessee
Records: 4-2; 4-2.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 710.
Line: Titans by 3. O/U: 43.
Losing DeSean Jackson hurts, but the Eagles still have enough receiving weapons to test a so-so Titans secondary. Eagles 30, Titans 24

San Francisco at Carolina
Records: 1-5; 0-5.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 711.
Line: 49ers by 3. O/U: 35.
The Panthers are switching back to Matt Moore, who had six turnovers in the first two games. That’s how bad things have gotten. 49ers 17, Panthers 9

Washington at Chicago
Records: 3-3; 4-2.
When: Sunday, 10 a.m.
TV: Channel 11. DirecTV: 712.
Line: Bears by 3. O/U: 40.
Blocking the Redskins’ 3-4 defense -- and especially keeping Brian Orakpo at bay -- will be a tall order for a porous Bears offensive line. Redskins 21, Bears 17

Arizona at Seattle
Records: 3-2; 3-2.
When: Sunday, 1 p.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 713.
Line: Seahawks by 5. O/U: 40.
Pete Carroll has his players believing in themselves, especially at home, where they’re 2-0. Tough place for Max Hall to make his road debut. Seahawks 28, Cardinals 21

New England at San Diego
Records: 4-1; 2-4.
When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.
TV: Channel 2. DirecTV: 714.
Line: Chargers by 2. O/U: 47.
The health of tight end Antonio Gates is huge in this one. If Philip Rivers doesn’t have him, that really handcuffs the San Diego offense. Patriots 28, Chargers 24

Oakland at Denver
Records: 2-4; 2-4.
When: Sunday, 1:15 p.m.
TV: none. DirecTV: 715.
Line: Broncos by 8. O/U: 41.
With Knowshon Moreno back to health, the Broncos should be able to control the pace of the game and the clock against the up-and-down Raiders. Broncos 17, Raiders 14

Minnesota at Green Bay
Records: 2-4; 3-3.
When: Sunday, 5:15 p.m.
TV: Channel 4.
Line: Packers by 3. O/U: 44.
Brett Favre is the big story, of course, but a huge factor for the Packers will be the health of linebacker Clay Matthews, who can be incredibly disruptive. Packers 27, Vikings 24

New York Giants at Dallas
Records: 4-2; 1-4.
When: Monday, 5:30 p.m.
TV: ESPN.
Line: Cowboys by 3. O/U: 44.
The Giants are rolling, the Cowboys are reeling, so this should be an easy victory for New York, right? Division rivalries often head a different direction. Cowboys 34, Giants 28

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