Mark Heisler’s NBA Eastern Conference preview
In predicted order of finish
1. Boston
2008-09 record: 62-20, No. 2 in East.
New: Rasheed Wallace, Marquis Daniels.
Gone: Stephon Marbury, Leon Powe.
Even with last season’s worst-case scenario, they still came within a game of the East finals.
With Kevin Garnett back, Wallace adding length they were dying for, a grown-up Rajon Rondo who averaged a triple-double in the playoffs, Paul Pierce and Ray Allen, they may be better than their 2008 title team. That’s good, since Cleveland is better than last season’s 66-win team.
2. Cleveland
2008-09 record: 66-16, No. 1.
New: Shaquille O’Neal, Anthony Parker, Jamario Moon, Leon Powe.
Gone: Ben Wallace, Joe Smith, Wally Szczerbiak, Sasha Pavlovic.
This is LeBron James’ best supporting cast, and not a moment too soon. If this were golf, Smith, Wallace and Szczerbiak would be on the senior tour. Their new players bring size and athleticism, but with the other East powers better too, ESPN pundits project the Cavaliers at No. 3. And another stumble in the East draw could be the last with James.
3. Orlando
2008-09 record: 59-23, No. 3.
New: Vince Carter, Brandon Bass, Ryan Anderson.
Gone: Hedo Turkoglu, Courtney Lee, Rafer Alston, Tony Battie.
They flew under the radar until stunning Cleveland in the East finals, but then lost Turkoglu, who was like a second point guard who made big shots . . . replacing him with Carter, who makes $6 million a year more than Hedo wanted. They still have that model inside-outside game with still-improving Dwight Howard and those shooters, so who says it’s over?
4. Atlanta
2008-09 record: 47-35, No. 4.
New: Jamal Crawford, Joe Smith, No. 1 pick Jeff Teague.
Gone: Solomon Jones, Ronald Murray.
Years of paralysis with owners suing one another actually helped, leaving the young team alone to grow up under Coach Mike Woodson, despite players grumbling. With Joe Johnson and the athletic Al Horford-Josh Smith-Marvin Williams front line, their win total has gone 13-26-30-37-47. However, they have yet to become an elite team, and Johnson, an upcoming free agent, just rejected an extension offer.
5. Miami
2008-09 record: 43-39, No. 5.
New: Carlos Arroyo, Quentin Richardson.
Gone: Shawn Marion, Jamario Moon.
Needing to give Dwyane Wade a reason to stay, President Pat Riley stood, uh, pat. After Riley’s Marion-for-Jermaine O’Neal deal, this was good thinking. With $20 million-plus in cap space, there’s as much chance Wade will lure a star to South Beach, or as NBA players call it, “the clubhouse.” In the meantime, Michael Beasley and Mario Chalmers, whose antics frustrated Wade, need to grow up.
6. Washington
2008-09 record: 19-63, No. 15.
New: Coach Flip Saunders, Randy Foye, Mike Miller.
Gone: Coaches Eddie Jordan and Ed Tapscott, Etan Thomas.
Rolling over and dying with Gilbert Arenas and Brendan Haywood out, they, at least, learned where they could go with young players like Nick Young and Andray Blatche: crazy. Arenas is back, no longer blogging, or even talking, to show he’s serious now. With enough kids, they traded their No. 5 pick for Foye and Miller. What could go wrong now?
7. Toronto
2008-09 record: 33-49, No. 13.
New: Hedo Turkoglu, No. 1 pick Demar DeRozan, Jarrett Jack, Marco Belinelli, Amir Johnson.
Gone: Shawn Marion, Anthony Parker.
Having fallen from 47 wins to 33 in three seasons, leaving this one to turn it, and Chris Bosh, around. GM Bryan Colangelo, whose Euro-centric style was a hit in Phoenix, finally fired skeptical coach Sam Mitchell as their Jermaine O’Neal experiment tanked. Colangelo now takes his last shot with Canadian Coach Jay Triano, a veteran of international play, and Turkoglu and Belinelli joining Andrea Bargnani and Jose Calderon.
8. Chicago
2008-09 record: 41-41 No. 6 (tie).
New: No. 1 picks James Johnson, Taj Gibson.
Gone: Ben Gordon.
Gordon and Derrick Rose looked like the backcourt of the future in the thrilling Boston series, but the thrifty Bulls let the Gordon half go to Detroit. Rose, Luol Deng, Joakim Noah and John Salmons remain with Gibson, who started ahead of Tyrus Thomas in exhibitions, and the team has a max slot to offer area native Wade next summer. In the meantime, there are fall, winter and spring.
9. Philadelphia
2008-09 record: 41-41, No. 6 (tie).
New: Coach Eddie Jordan, Jason Kapono, No. 1 pick Jrue Holiday.
Gone: Coach Mo Cheeks, Andre Miller, Reggie Evans.
Even while progressing in the Allen Iverson era, things have been a bit off: New GM Ed Stefanski dumped Kyle Korver, just before nudging Cheeks to play fast, enabling them to sign Elton Brand, who still looks lost in their system . . . which is dying for shooters. Hemorrhaging money, the team didn’t re-sign Miller. With non-passing Lou Williams in his place, they’ll miss Miller.
10. Detroit
2008-09 record: 39-43, No. 8.
New: Coach John Kuester, Ben Gordon, Charlie Villanueva, Ben Wallace, Chris Wilcox.
Gone: Coach Michael Curry, Allen Iverson, Rasheed Wallace, Antonio McDyess, Amir Johnson.
Joe Dumars boldly broke up his veteran team with its string of six East finals in a row intact, but the next one may be a while. Trading Chauncey Billups for Iverson, who left, freed cap room for Gordon, a great shooter, and Villanueva, a great question mark. With Villanueva, the poet laureate of NBA tweeters, next to space cadet Kwame Brown, the Bad Boys could be a new tradition.
11. Charlotte
2008-09 record: 35-47 No. 10.
New: Tyson Chandler, No. 1 pick Gerald Henderson.
Gone: Emeka Okafor.
Sure enough, Larry Brown made them better, but making them good will be harder. Starting 7-16, they made the usual Brown move, trading a star, Jason Richardson, for Boris Diaw and Raja Bell, then finished 28-31, even making a playoff run. Now they’ve traded former franchise player Okafor for Chandler, who has been plagued by injuries. Who knows what could happen?
12. Indiana
2008-09 record: 36-46, No. 9.
New: No. 1 pick Tyler Hansbrough, Dahntay Jones, Earl Watson.
Gone: Jarrett Jack, Marquis Daniels.
Their outlaw image is gone but not their bad luck. Mike Dunleavy Jr. missed most of last season and isn’t back yet. Nor is Hansbrough, who injured his shin in summer. Danny Granger became a star and Troy Murphy a front-line player in Jim O’Brien’s offense, rated one of the most imaginative by coaching peers, but Obie needs more players.
13. Milwaukee
2008-09 record: 34-48, No. 11 (tie).
New: No. 1 pick Brandon Jennings, Hakim Warrick, Kurt Thomas.
Gone: Richard Jefferson, Charlie Villanueva, Ramon Sessions.
Scott Skiles debuted unimpressively, figuring out who he wanted -- or they could afford -- (gritty guys like Luc Richard Mbah a Moute) and who he/they didn’t/couldn’t (Jefferson, Sessions, Villanueva.) What remains -- Andrew Bogut, Michael Redd, et al. -- is humble enough. Now Skiles is handing the reins to rookie point guard Jennings, whose travels have now taken him from Dominguez High to Italy to Wisconsin.
14. New York
2008-09 record: 32-50, No. 14.
New: No. 1 pick Jordan Hill.
Gone: Quentin Richardson, a projected $10 million in cap space.
They were actually a surprise, improving by nine wins after dumping their best players, Zach Randolph and Jamal Crawford . . . before learning a revenue shortfall may cut them from the two maximum slots they projected to one-plus. Chastened, or sobered up, they made no moves last summer, leaving Coach Mike D’Antoni to figure out how to defy more expectations, or Plan B.
15. New Jersey
2008-09 record: 34-48, No. 11 (tie).
New: Courtney Lee, Rafer Alston, Tony Battie, No. 1 pick Terrence Williams.
Gone: Vince Carter, Ryan Anderson.
Rescuing the Nets from their Brooklyn in 2010 (or 2011, 2012 or sometime in the 21st century) fantasy, Russian billionaire Mikhail Prokhorov bought the team. Just think if he had arrived before they melted themselves down, trading Carter for the low, low, bargain price of Lee, Battie and Alston! They still have Devin Harris and Brook Lopez and now, at least, better financing.
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