Stock Market Barometers

Fundamental and technical indicators of the market’s health

Key indexes vs. their 200-day moving averages:

A stock index’s 200-day moving average indicates the basic trend, up or down. It is generally bullish if the index stays above the average.

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S&P; 500 (blue-chip stocks), Friday: 957.59

200-day moving average, Friday: 910.99

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Russel 2,000 index (smaller stocks), Friday: 424.81

200-day moving average: 411.70

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Price-to-earnings ratio of the Standard & Poor’s 500: 23.56

Based on actual earnings per share, 12 months ended Sept. 30

Average since 1923: 13.5

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Dividend yield of the Standard & Poor’s 500: 1.64%

Average dividend yield of blue-chip stocks

Average since 1923: 4.5%

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Weekly new highs vs. new lows on the NYSE: 326/96

Data for the week ended Friday. More highs than lows is preferable, indicating a bullish trend.

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Investment newsletter sentiment:

Stocks’ near-term trend as predicted by 135 independent investment newsletters, weekly survey by Investors Intelligence. The data are often viewed as a contrarian indicator: A rising percentage of bulls can signal a topping market.

Jan. 16

Bullish: 46.3%

Bearish: 35.0

Correction: 18.7

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Friday

Bullish: 44.3%

Bearish: 35.5

Correction: 20.2

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Put-call ratio: 0.48

The ratio of stock put options to call options traded last week on the Chicago Board Options Exchange. A low put-call ratio--under 0.40--can be construed as bearish because it indicates a high level of optimism, leaving a lot of room for disappointment.

Source: A.G. Edwards & Sons. More information can be found at

https://www.agedwards.com on the World Wide Web.